The Dollar Exchange Rate, Adjustment to the Purchasing Power Parity, and the Interest Rate Differential

نویسندگان

چکیده

This study applies a Markov switching error correction model to describe the single most important real exchange rate (Deutsche mark versus US dollar) over flexible rates period from 1973 2004. We show an alternative way of modelling non-linear adjustment purchasing power parity (PPP) besides standard threshold models. The merges two possible sources non-linearity by additionally allowing probability mean-reverting regime increase with distance PPP. interest differential as additional determinant behaviour in framework is introduced model. finds that dollar during post-Bretton Woods era well described long-run equilibrium. There one mean reversion where PPP and condition are valid. Contrary, second characterised persistent aversion, switch does not become more likely increasing unconditional half-life shocks about 1.5 years.

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ژورنال

عنوان ژورنال: Mathematics

سال: 2022

ISSN: ['2227-7390']

DOI: https://doi.org/10.3390/math10234504